Has The Altcoin Season Started?

Has The Altcoin Season Started?


Crypto market (excluding BTC) monthly chart. Source: TradingView

After a halving, Bitcoin typically absorbs most of the market attention, leading to a parabolic rise. Capital flows into altcoins once Bitcoin peaks and consolidates, sparking altcoin seasons.

Fractal analysis of the 2016 and 2020 halvings reveals striking similarities. After 2016, the total altcoin market cap surged by over 1,200%, while the 2020 cycle saw a 2,000% increase. In both cases, altcoin seasons began roughly 6-12 months after Bitcoin’s peak, as traders sought higher returns in alternative assets.

Following the April 2024 halving, Bitcoin has rallied, and current consolidation suggests a potential rotation into altcoins by mid-2025. If history repeats, the altcoin market could see exponential growth, likely driven by narratives like AI blockchains or next-gen DeFi.

Fractals suggest this next phase could deliver returns similar to previous altcoin booms.

Bitcoin Dominance Further Indicates Altcoin Season Beginning

Bitcoin dominance is a crucial indicator of shifting trends in the cryptocurrency market, signaling the transition between Bitcoin and altcoin seasons. Historical patterns highlight these cycles with precision, as shown in the chart.



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