Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High, Analyst Says Market Still Not Overheated

Bitcoin surged past $111,800 on May 22, gaining over 4% in a single day.
Analyst says the market looks stable with low funding rates and limited short term investor activity
Price forecasts vary with Titan of Crypto expecting 135000 to 140000 and van Lagen seeing up to 320000.

Bitcoin surged past $111,800 on May 22, setting its second all-time high in just 24 hours after previously hitting $109,800 on May 21. This sharp rise pushed the world’s largest cryptocurrency up by over 4% in a single day. Since the start of 2025, Bitcoin has gained 19%, keeping bullish investors hopeful and attracting fresh capital into the market.

While these record levels signal growing demand, CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan believes the market is not overheated. In his latest Quicktake post, he explained that although long bets in the futures market have increased, the overall funding rate remains low. This shows minimal signs of the kind of overheating seen during earlier bull runs.

The analyst also reviewed the percentage of Bitcoin traded over the short term, specifically between one week and one month. That metric reflects the pace of short-term capital flow. Despite the recent high, inflows remain slower than they were at previous peaks, suggesting fewer speculative movements than usual.

Bitcoin Profit-Taking Remains Subdued

Profit-taking has also been limited. Short-term holders have not rushed to sell, unlike in March 2024 when heavy selling led to a significant correction. Compared to November 2024, current levels of selling are much lower. Even large holders, often called whales, have not been quick to cash out despite the higher prices.

Dan also highlighted the increasing amount of Bitcoin held in spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), now at an all-time high. These growing holdings reflect broader interest from both institutional and retail investors, especially in the United States. This trend supports continued upward momentum in the market, according to the report.

He concluded that while Bitcoin is trading at record highs, the low funding rate, restrained short-term capital movement, and limited profit-taking all suggest that the market remains stable. Spot ETF inflows provide added strength to this upward trend.

Analysts Eye Higher Targets Ahead

Some traders believe this rally still has more room to run. In a post on May 21, Titan of Crypto, a well-followed figure in the trading space, recently reaffirmed his 2025 price target of $135,000. He bases this on Bitcoin’s movement across long-term support and resistance levels over the past two years, combined with Fibonacci extension tools.

That model places a possible target between $135,000 and $140,000. The 1.618 Fibonacci level, commonly used in market forecasting, sits right in that range, matching the trajectory of Bitcoin’s current trend.

Another technical analyst, Gert van Lagen, has set the bar even higher. He predicted Bitcoin could reach anywhere from $300,000 to $320,000. He referenced the coin’s breakout from a four-year Megaphone Pattern, where the price forms wider swings over time before breaking out sharply upward.

Van Lagen also applied Elliott Wave Theory to support his forecast. Bitcoin is now in the final Wave 5 of an impulse cycle, which, if it completes as expected, could push the coin up another 170% to 190% from current levels.

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